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1.
J Infect Public Health ; 16(8): 1262-1268, 2023 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20243403

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Studies comparing SARS-CoV-2 reinfection outcomes among individuals with previous infection (natural immunity) and previous infection plus vaccination (hybrid immunity) are limited. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study comparing SARS-CoV-2 reinfection among patients with hybrid immunity (cases) and natural immunity (controls) from March 2020 to February 2022. Reinfection was defined as positive PCR> 90 days after initial laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Outcomes included time to reinfection, symptom severity, COVID-19-related hospitalization, critical COVID-19 illness (need for intensive care unit, invasive mechanical ventilation, or death), length of stay (LOS). RESULTS: A total of 773 (42%) vaccinated and 1073 (58%) unvaccinated patients with reinfection were included. Most patients (62.7%) were asymptomatic. Median time to reinfection was longer with hybrid immunity (391 [311-440] vs 294 [229-406] days, p < 0.001). Cases were less likely to be symptomatic (34.1% vs 39.6%, p = 0.001) or develop critical COVID-19 (2.3% vs 4.3%, p = 0.023). However, there was no significant difference in rates of COVID-19-related hospitalization (2.6% vs 3.8%, p = 0.142) or LOS (5 [2-9] vs 5 [3-10] days, p = 0.446). Boosted patients had longer time to reinfection (439 [IQR 372-467] vs 324 [IQR 256-414] days, p < 0.001) and were less likely to be symptomatic (26.8% vs 38%, p = 0.002) compared to unboosted patients. Rates of hospitalization, progression to critical illness and LOS were not significantly different between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Natural and hybrid immunity provided protection against SARS-CoV-2 reinfection and hospitalization. However, hybrid immunity conferred stronger protection against symptomatic disease and progression to critical illness and was associated with longer time to reinfection. The stronger protection conferred by hybrid immunity against severe outcomes due to COVID-19 should be emphasized with the public to further the vaccination effort, especially in high-risk individuals.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Critical Illness , Reinfection/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Adaptive Immunity
2.
Int J Infect Dis ; 123: 9-16, 2022 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2307227

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: SARS-CoV-2 vaccination has been shown to reduce infection severity; however, the reinfection frequency among unvaccinated, partially vaccinated, and fully vaccinated individuals remains unclear. This study aims to elucidate the rates of and factors associated with such occurrences. METHODS: This retrospective epidemiological report included 1362 COVID-19 reinfection cases in Bahrain between April 2020 and July 2021. We analyzed differences in disease severity and reinfection characteristics among various vaccination statuses: fully vaccinated, interrupted vaccination, one-dose vaccination, postreinfection vaccination, and unvaccinated. RESULTS: Reinfection cases increased from zero per month in April-June 2020 to a sharp peak of 579 in May 2021. A significantly larger proportion of reinfected individuals were male (60.3%, P <0.0001). Reinfection episodes were highest among those 30-39 years of age (29.7%). The fewest reinfection episodes occurred at 3-6 months after the first infection (20.6%) and most occurred ≥9 months after the initial infection (46.4%). Most individuals were asymptomatic during both episodes (35.7%). Reinfection disease severity was mild, with vaccinated patients less likely to have symptomatic reinfection (odds ratio 0.71, P = 0.004). Only 6.6% of reinfected patients required hospitalization. One death was recorded; the patient belonged to the unvaccinated group. CONCLUSION: Vaccine-induced immunity and previous infection with or without vaccination were effective in reducing reinfection disease severity.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines , Female , Humans , Male , Reinfection/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies
3.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 44(3): 360-366, 2023 Mar 10.
Article in Chinese | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2289685

ABSTRACT

Continuous evolution of Omicron variant of 2019-nCoV has resulted in a rapid and simultaneous emergences of novel sub-variants with increased immune escape ability, higher reinfection risk and shorter time interval between infections. Compared with the first infection, the reinfection would still pose exceed risk to people's health although the clinical manifestations of the reinfection might be milder and the risk for severe illness or death is lower. The reinfection is highly associated with people's vaccination status, immunity level, age, working and residential factors. Those who have not received 2019-nCoV vaccination, the elderly and those with comorbidities, especially the previous 2019-nCoV patients with severe/critical illness, are at high risk for the reinfection. Booster doses of vaccine might play an additional role in the prevention of the reinfection and severe illness on the basis of natural immunity.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Aged , Humans , Reinfection/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Immunity, Innate
4.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1146059, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2300320

ABSTRACT

Background: With the widespread transmission of the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant, reinfections have become increasingly common. Here, we explored the role of immunity, primary infection severity, and variant predominance in the risk of reinfection and severe COVID-19 during Omicron predominance in Mexico. Methods: We analyzed reinfections in Mexico in individuals with a primary infection separated by at least 90 days from reinfection using a national surveillance registry of SARS-CoV-2 cases from March 3rd, 2020, to August 13th, 2022. Immunity-generating events included primary infection, partial or complete vaccination, and booster vaccines. Reinfections were matched by age and sex with controls with primary SARS-CoV-2 infection and negative RT-PCR or antigen test at least 90 days after primary infection to explore reinfection and severe disease risk factors. We also compared the protective efficacy of heterologous and homologous vaccine boosters against reinfection. Results: We detected 231,202 SARS-CoV-2 reinfections in Mexico, most occurring in unvaccinated individuals (41.55%). Over 207,623 reinfections occurred during periods of Omicron (89.8%), BA.1 (36.74%), and BA.5 (33.67%) subvariant predominance and a case-fatality rate of 0.22%. Vaccination protected against reinfection, without significant influence of the order of immunity-generating events and provided >90% protection against severe reinfections. Heterologous booster schedules were associated with ~11% and ~ 54% lower risk for reinfection and reinfection-associated severe COVID-19, respectively, modified by time-elapsed since the last immunity-generating event, when compared against complete primary schedules. Conclusion: SARS-CoV-2 reinfections increased during Omicron predominance. Hybrid immunity provides protection against reinfection and associated severe COVID-19, with potential benefit from heterologous booster schedules.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Reinfection/epidemiology , Mexico/epidemiology , Adaptive Immunity
5.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 778, 2023 04 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2305017

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In December 2019, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) emerged with a high transmissibility rate and resulted in numerous negative impacts on global life. Preventive measures such as face masks, social distancing, and vaccination helped control the pandemic. Nonetheless, the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants, such as Omega and Delta, as well as coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) reinfection, raise additional concerns. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the overall prevalence of reinfection on global and regional scales. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted across three databases, PubMed, Scopus, and ProQuest Central, including all articles pertaining to COVID-19 reinfection without language restriction. After critical appraisal and qualitative synthesis of the identified relevant articles, a meta-analysis considering random effects was used to pool the studies. RESULTS: We included 52 studies conducted between 2019 and 2022, with a total sample size of 3,623,655 patients. The overall prevalence of COVID-19 reinfection was 4.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.7-4.8%; n = 52), with high heterogeneity between studies. Africa had the highest prevalence of 4.7% (95% CI: 1.9-7.5%; n = 3), whereas Oceania and America had lower estimates of 0.3% (95% CI: 0.2-0.4%; n = 1) and 1% (95% CI: 0.8-1.3%; n = 7), respectively. The prevalence of reinfection in Europe and Asia was 1.2% (95% CI: 0.8-1.5%; n = 8) and 3.8% (95% CI: 3.4-4.3%; n = 43), respectively. Studies that used a combined type of specimen had the highest prevalence of 7.6% (95% CI: 5.8-9.5%; n = 15) compared with those that used oropharyngeal or nasopharyngeal swabs only that had lower estimates of 6.7% (95% CI: 4.8-8.5%; n = 8), and 3.4% (95% CI: 2.8-4.0%; n = 12) respectively. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 reinfection occurs with varying prevalence worldwide, with the highest occurring in Africa. Therefore, preventive measures, including vaccination, should be emphasized to ensure control of the pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Prevalence , Reinfection/epidemiology
6.
Arch Pediatr ; 30(3): 187-191, 2023 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2294725

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although it was originally unknown whether there would be cases of reinfection of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) as seen with other coronaviruses, cases of reinfection were reported from various regions recently. However, there is little information about reinfection in children. METHODS: In this study, we aimed to investigate the incidence and clinical findings of reinfection in pediatric patients who had recovered from COVID-19. We retrospectively evaluated all patients under 18 years of age with COVID-19 infection from a total of eight healthcare facilities in Turkey, between March 2020 and July 2021. Possible reinfection was defined as a record of confirmed COVID-19 infection based on positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test results at least 3 months apart. RESULTS: A possible reinfection was detected in 11 out of 8840 children, which yielded an incidence of 0.12%. The median duration between two episodes of COVID-19 was 196 (92-483) days. When initial and second episodes were compared, the rates of symptomatic and asymptomatic disease were similar for both, as was the severity of the disease (p = 1.000). Also, there was no significant difference in duration of symptoms (p = 0.498) or in hospitalization rates (p = 1.000). Only one patient died 15 days after PCR positivity, which resulted in a 9.1% mortality rate for cases of reinfection in pediatric patients. CONCLUSION: We observed that children with COVID-19 were less likely to be exposed to reinfection when compared with adults. Although the clinical spectrum of reinfection was mostly similar to the first episode, we reported death of a healthy child during the reinfection.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Adult , Humans , Child , Adolescent , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Reinfection/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies
7.
Int J Infect Dis ; 132: 72-79, 2023 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2293569

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The predictors of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection are unclear. We examined predictors of reinfection with pre-Omicron and Omicron variants among COVID-19-recovered individuals. METHODS: Randomly selected COVID-19-recovered patients (N = 1004) who donated convalescent plasma during 2020 were interviewed between August 2021 and March 2022 regarding COVID-19 vaccination and laboratory-proven reinfection. The sera from 224 (22.3%) participants were tested for antispike (anti-S) immunoglobulin G and neutralizing antibodies. RESULTS: The participants' median age was 31.1 years (78.6% males). The overall reinfection incidence rate was 12.8%; 2.7% versus 21.6% for the pre-Omicron (mostly Delta) versus Omicron variants. Negative associations were found between fever during the first illness and pre-Omicron reinfection: relative risk 0.29 (95% confidence interval 0.09-0.94), high anti-N level at first illness and Omicron reinfection: 0.53 (0.33-0.85), and overall reinfection: 0.56 (0.37-0.84), as well as between subsequent COVID-19 vaccination with the BNT162b2 vaccine and pre-Omicron 0.15 (0.07-0.32), Omicron 0.48 (0.25-0.45), and overall reinfections 0.38 (0.25-0.58). These variables significantly correlated with immunoglobulin G anti-S follow-up levels. High pre-existing anti-S binding and neutralizing antibody levels against the SARS-CoV-2 Wuhan and Alpha strains predicted protection against Omicron reinfections. CONCLUSION: Strong immune responses after the first COVID-19 infection and subsequent vaccination with the BNT162b2 vaccine provided cross-protection against reinfections with the Delta and Omicron variants.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Male , Humans , Adult , Female , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics , BNT162 Vaccine , Reinfection/epidemiology , COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 Serotherapy , Antibodies, Neutralizing , Immunoglobulin G , Antibodies, Viral
8.
Epidemiol Health ; 45: e2023007, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2263720

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate the severity of suspected severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reinfection according to variants of concern in Gyeongsangbuk-do and Daegu, Korea. METHODS: The database of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases reported from epidemiological investigations through the integrated system operated by the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, from January 20, 2020 to May 7, 2022 was combined with data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service system. The severity odds ratio (SOR) in secondary infection episodes compared with primary infection was estimated using a generalized linear model with a binomial distribution. RESULTS: In all patients, the SOR of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection was 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82 to 0.95), and the severity was lower than in the first infection. Patients who had been vaccinated within 91 days showed a more attenuated SOR (0.85; 95% CI, 0.74 to 0.98). However, despite vaccination, in patients with both primary and secondary infections caused by the Omicron variant, the severity was reduced to a lesser extent than in patients primarily infected with other variants. CONCLUSIONS: We could make efforts to relieve the severity of COVID-19 in vulnerable populations, in which death is more likely, by recommending booster vaccinations in case of a resurgence.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Coinfection , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Reinfection/epidemiology , Republic of Korea/epidemiology
9.
PLoS One ; 18(3): e0280584, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2278210

ABSTRACT

This retrospective observational study aimed to gain a better understanding of the protective duration of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection against reinfection. The objectives were two-fold: to assess the durability of immunity to SARS-CoV-2 reinfection among initially unvaccinated individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, and to evaluate the crude SARS-CoV-2 reinfection rate and associated risk factors. During the pandemic era time period from February 29, 2020, through April 30, 2021, 144,678,382 individuals with SARS-CoV-2 molecular diagnostic or antibody test results were studied. Rates of reinfection among index-positive individuals were compared to rates of infection among index-negative individuals. Factors associated with reinfection were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. For both objectives, the outcome was a subsequent positive molecular diagnostic test result. Consistent with prior findings, the risk of reinfection among index-positive individuals was 87% lower than the risk of infection among index-negative individuals. The duration of protection against reinfection was stable over the median 5 months and up to 1-year follow-up interval. Factors associated with an increased reinfection risk included older age, comorbid immunologic conditions, and living in congregate care settings; healthcare workers had a decreased reinfection risk. This large US population-based study suggests that infection induced immunity is durable for variants circulating pre-Delta predominance.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Reinfection/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Antibodies , Health Personnel
10.
East Mediterr Health J ; 29(2): 146-150, 2023 Feb 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2248617

ABSTRACT

Background: Data are scarce on differences in the rates of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reinfection after the first infection. Aims: We examined nationwide data on SARS-CoV-2 reinfection in Kuwait according to four-time windows to reinfection: 29-45 days, 46-60 days, 61-90 days, and ≥ 91 days. Methods: This was a population-level retrospective cohort study conducted between 31 March 2020 and 31 March 2021. We reviewed evidence of second positive RT-PCR test results for those who had previously recovered from COVID-19 and tested negative. Results: Reinfection rates were: 0.52% for reinfection window 29-45 days, 0.36% for 45-60 days, 0.29% for 61-90 days, and 0.20% for ≥ 91 days. The mean age (standard deviation [SD]) of individuals with the shortest reinfection time interval (29-45 days) was significantly older than the mean age of all other groups - 43.3 years (SD 17.5) compared with: 39.0 years (SD 16.5), P = 0.037 for 46-60-day interval; 38.3 years (SD 16.5), P = 0.002 for 61-90-day interval; and 39.2 years (SD 14.4), P = 0.001 for ≥ 91-days interval. Conclusion: SARS-CoV-2 reinfection was uncommon among this adult population. Older age was associated with a shorter time to reinfection.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Adult , Infant , Kuwait/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Reinfection/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies
11.
Eur J Clin Invest ; 52(10): e13845, 2022 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2259294

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: A precise estimate of the frequency and severity of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections would be critical to optimize restriction and vaccination policies for the hundreds of millions previously infected subjects. We performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the risk of reinfection and COVID-19 following primary infection. METHODS: We searched MedLine, Scopus and preprint repositories for cohort studies evaluating the onset of new infections among baseline SARS-CoV-2-positive subjects. Random-effect meta-analyses of proportions were stratified by gender, exposure risk, vaccination status, viral strain, time between episodes, and reinfection definition. RESULTS: Ninety-one studies, enrolling 15,034,624 subjects, were included. Overall, 158,478 reinfections were recorded, corresponding to a pooled rate of 0.97% (95% CI: 0.71%-1.27%), with no substantial differences by definition criteria, exposure risk or gender. Reinfection rates were still 0.66% after ≥12 months from first infection, and the risk was substantially lower among vaccinated subjects (0.32% vs. 0.74% for unvaccinated individuals). During the first 3 months of Omicron wave, the reinfection rates reached 3.31%. Overall rates of severe/lethal COVID-19 were very low (2-7 per 10,000 subjects according to definition criteria) and were not affected by strain predominance. CONCLUSIONS: A strong natural immunity follows the primary infection and may last for more than one year, suggesting that the risk and health care needs of recovered subjects might be limited. Although the reinfection rates considerably increased during the Omicron wave, the risk of a secondary severe or lethal disease remained very low. The risk-benefit profile of multiple vaccine doses for this subset of population needs to be carefully evaluated.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Reinfection , COVID-19/epidemiology , Humans , Immunity, Innate , Reinfection/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccination
12.
J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc ; 12(4): 198-204, 2023 Apr 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2286006

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Beginning in late 2021, we observed a significant increase in SARS-CoV-2 reinfections in pediatric patients evaluated at our institution. We aimed to characterize the children with SARS-CoV-2 reinfection, determine the number of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections, and characterize the intervals between two infections in our patient population. METHODS: From March 2020 to September 2022, we identified children ≤21 years old who had ≥2 SARS-CoV-2 infections using laboratory reports. We then defined the type of SARS-CoV-2 variant in the first and subsequent infections by mutation-specific typing or local epidemiology data. Clinical outcomes and the intervals between SARS-CoV-2 infections were assessed. RESULTS: We identified 541 children with ≥2 SARS-CoV-2 infections. The median interval between two infections was 229 days. The hospitalization rate was lower in the second infection. Reinfection counts were higher during the periods that Omicron variants predominated. Reinfection occurred more rapidly when Omicron variants were circulating with some occurring in less than 90 days. CONCLUSIONS: As SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve, there is a need for ongoing surveillance to identify the frequency and time interval between reinfections and to re-evaluate the definition of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Child , Young Adult , Adult , Ohio/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Reinfection/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology
13.
Euro Surveill ; 28(13)2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2285507

ABSTRACT

BackgroundUnderstanding the epidemiology of reinfections is crucial for SARS-CoV-2 control over a long period.AimTo evaluate the risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection by vaccination status, predominant variant and time after first infection.MethodsWe conducted a cohort study including all residents in the Reggio Emilia province on 31 December 2019, followed up until 28 February 2022 for SARS-CoV-2 first infection and reinfection after 90 days. Cox models were used to compare risk of first infection vs reinfection, adjusting for age, sex, vaccine doses and comorbidities.ResultsThe cohort included 538,516 residents, 121,154 with first SARS-CoV-2 infections and 3,739 reinfections, most in the Omicron BA.1 period. In the pre-Omicron period, three doses of vaccine reduced risk of reinfection by 89% (95% CI: 87-90), prior infection reduced risk by 90% (95% CI: 88-91), while two doses and infection reduced risk by 98% (95% CI: 96-99). In the Omicron BA.1 period, protection estimates were 53% (95% CI: 52-55), 9% (95% CI: 4-14) and 76% (95% CI: 74-77). Before Omicron, protection from reinfection remained above 80% for up to 15 months; with Omicron BA.1, protection decreased from 71% (95% CI: 65-76) at 5 months to 21% (95% CI: 10-30) at 22 months from the first infection. Omicron BA.1 reinfections showed 48% (95% CI: 10-57) lower risk of severe disease than first infections.ConclusionsNatural immunity acquired with previous variants showed low protection against Omicron BA.1. Combined vaccination and natural immunity seems to be more protective against reinfection than either alone. Vaccination of people with prior infection reduced the risk of severe disease.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Cohort Studies , Reinfection/epidemiology , Reinfection/prevention & control , Italy/epidemiology , Vaccination
14.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 93, 2023 Feb 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2245627

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this study were to describe the coronavirus disease caused by SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) reinfection evaluation algorithm used in the early phase of the pandemic in Singapore and analyze the clinical and laboratory characteristics of the cases evaluated. METHODS: We performed a retrospective case-control analysis including all COVID-19 cases evaluated for possible reinfection under the local COVID-19 reinfection evaluation programme between 1 June 2020-30 June 2021. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) was used as confirmatory testing. We compared all reinfection ("RI") cases against those who were evaluated but eventually assessed not to be reinfection ("non-RI"). RESULTS: There were 74 possible reinfection cases evaluated through the programme, of which 32 were subsequently classified as RI. There was strong statistical evidence that RI cases had a longer interval between 1st and 2nd episode (mean 297 days; 95%-confidence interval (CI) 267-327) compared to non-RI cases (mean 186 days; 95%-CI 144-228). The cycle threshold (Ct) value of initial polymerase chain rection (PCR) at 2nd episode was also found to be significantly lower in RI cases (mean 23; 95%-CI 20-26) compared to non-RI cases (mean 34; 95%-CI 32-36). There was no significant difference in the proportion of individuals who had fever, acute respiratory symptoms or asymptomatic in both groups. Delta and beta variants were most commonly identified from WGS and provide indication of re-infection as these were not 'wild-type' and were not circulating during the time period of the index infection. CONCLUSIONS: Using a combination of serologic, microbiologic and genomic criteria to evaluate possible reinfection cases is useful and can provide a framework for evaluation that may be modified for future similar situations.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Pandemics , Reinfection/diagnosis , Reinfection/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Singapore/epidemiology
15.
Lancet ; 401(10379): 833-842, 2023 03 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2245449

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Understanding the level and characteristics of protection from past SARS-CoV-2 infection against subsequent re-infection, symptomatic COVID-19 disease, and severe disease is essential for predicting future potential disease burden, for designing policies that restrict travel or access to venues where there is a high risk of transmission, and for informing choices about when to receive vaccine doses. We aimed to systematically synthesise studies to estimate protection from past infection by variant, and where data allow, by time since infection. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we identified, reviewed, and extracted from the scientific literature retrospective and prospective cohort studies and test-negative case-control studies published from inception up to Sept 31, 2022, that estimated the reduction in risk of COVID-19 among individuals with a past SARS-CoV-2 infection in comparison to those without a previous infection. We meta-analysed the effectiveness of past infection by outcome (infection, symptomatic disease, and severe disease), variant, and time since infection. We ran a Bayesian meta-regression to estimate the pooled estimates of protection. Risk-of-bias assessment was evaluated using the National Institutes of Health quality-assessment tools. The systematic review was PRISMA compliant and was registered with PROSPERO (number CRD42022303850). FINDINGS: We identified a total of 65 studies from 19 different countries. Our meta-analyses showed that protection from past infection and any symptomatic disease was high for ancestral, alpha, beta, and delta variants, but was substantially lower for the omicron BA.1 variant. Pooled effectiveness against re-infection by the omicron BA.1 variant was 45·3% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 17·3-76·1) and 44·0% (26·5-65·0) against omicron BA.1 symptomatic disease. Mean pooled effectiveness was greater than 78% against severe disease (hospitalisation and death) for all variants, including omicron BA.1. Protection from re-infection from ancestral, alpha, and delta variants declined over time but remained at 78·6% (49·8-93·6) at 40 weeks. Protection against re-infection by the omicron BA.1 variant declined more rapidly and was estimated at 36·1% (24·4-51·3) at 40 weeks. On the other hand, protection against severe disease remained high for all variants, with 90·2% (69·7-97·5) for ancestral, alpha, and delta variants, and 88·9% (84·7-90·9) for omicron BA.1 at 40 weeks. INTERPRETATION: Protection from past infection against re-infection from pre-omicron variants was very high and remained high even after 40 weeks. Protection was substantially lower for the omicron BA.1 variant and declined more rapidly over time than protection against previous variants. Protection from severe disease was high for all variants. The immunity conferred by past infection should be weighed alongside protection from vaccination when assessing future disease burden from COVID-19, providing guidance on when individuals should be vaccinated, and designing policies that mandate vaccination for workers or restrict access, on the basis of immune status, to settings where the risk of transmission is high, such as travel and high-occupancy indoor settings. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, J Stanton, T Gillespie, and J and E Nordstrom.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , United States , Humans , Bayes Theorem , COVID-19/prevention & control , Prospective Studies , Reinfection/epidemiology , Reinfection/prevention & control , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
16.
Lancet ; 401(10379): 798-800, 2023 03 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2239875
17.
Int J Infect Dis ; 131: 100-110, 2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2210480

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the reinfection rate of vaccinated or convalescent immunized SARS-CoV-2 in 952 expatriate workers with SARS-CoV-2 serological antibody (Ab) patterns and surrogate T cell memory at recruitment and follow-up. METHODS: Trimeric spike, nucleocapsid, and neutralizing Abs were measured, along with a T cell stimulation assay, targeting SARS-CoV-2 memory in clusters of differentiation (CD) 4+ and CD8+ T cells. The subjects were then followed up for reinfection for up to 6 months. RESULTS: The seroprevalence positivity at enrollment was greater than 99%. The T cell reactivity in this population was 38.2%. Of the 149 (15.9%) participants that were reinfected during the follow-up period (74.3%) had nonreactive T cells at enrollment. Those who had greater than 100 binding Ab units/ml increase from the median concentration of antispike immunoglobulin G Abs had a 6% reduction in the risk of infection. Those who were below the median concentration had a 78% greater risk of infection. CONCLUSION: Significant immune protection from reinfection was observed in those who retained T cell activation memory. Additional protection was observed when the antispike was greater than the median value.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Reinfection/epidemiology , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Immunoglobulin G , Antibodies, Viral , Antibodies, Neutralizing
18.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 712, 2023 01 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2186019

ABSTRACT

In this large cohort of healthcare workers, we aimed to estimate the rate of reinfections by SARS-CoV-2 over 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic. We investigated the proportion of reinfections among all the cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection from March 10, 2020 until March 10, 2022. Reinfection was defined as the appearance of new symptoms that on medical evaluation were suggestive of COVID-19 and confirmed by a positive RT-PCR. Symptoms had to occur more than 90 days after the previous infection. These 2 years were divided into time periods based on the different variants of concern (VOC) in the city of São Paulo. There were 37,729 medical consultations due to COVID-19 at the hospital's Health Workers Services; and 25,750 RT-PCR assays were performed, of which 23% (n = 5865) were positive. Reinfection by SARS-CoV-2 was identified in 5% (n = 284) of symptomatic cases. Most cases of reinfection occurred during the Omicron period (n = 251; 88%), representing a significant increase on the SARS-CoV-2 reinfection rate before and during the Omicron variant period (0.8% vs. 4.3%; p < 0.001). The mean interval between SARS-CoV-2 infections was 429 days (ranged from 122 to 674). The Omicron variant spread faster than Gamma and Delta variant. All SARS-CoV-2 reinfections were mild cases.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Reinfection/epidemiology , Pandemics , Brazil/epidemiology , Health Personnel
19.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 20763, 2022 Dec 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2133618

ABSTRACT

This meta-analysis aims to synthesize global evidence on the risk of reinfection among people previously infected with SARS-CoV-2. We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, Embase and Web of Science as of April 5, 2021. We conducted: (1) meta-analysis of cohort studies containing data sufficient for calculating the incidence rate of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection; (2) systematic review of case reports with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 reinfection cases. The reinfection incidence was pooled by zero-inflated beta distribution. The hazard ratio (HR) between reinfection incidence among previously infected individuals and new infection incidence among infection-naïve individuals was calculated using random-effects models. Of 906 records retrieved and reviewed, 11 studies and 11 case reports were included in the meta-analysis and the systematic review, respectively. The pooled SARS-CoV-2 reinfection incidence rate was 0.70 (standard deviation [SD] 0.33) per 10,000 person-days. The incidence of reinfection was lower than the incidence of new infection (HR = 0.12, 95% confidence interval 0.09-0.17). Our meta-analysis of studies conducted prior to the emergency of the more transmissible Omicron variant showed that people with a prior SARS-CoV-2 infection could be re-infected, and they have a lower risk of infection than those without prior infection. Continuing reviews are needed as the reinfection risk may change due to the rapid evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Reinfection , Humans , Reinfection/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiology , PubMed
20.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 20098, 2022 Nov 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2133574

ABSTRACT

The in-depth understanding of the dynamics of COVID-19 transmission among different age groups is of great interest for governments and health authorities so that strategies can be devised to reduce the pandemic's detrimental effects. We developed the SIRDV-Virulence (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Dead-Vaccinated-Virulence) epidemiological model based on a population balance equation to study the effects virus mutants, vaccination strategies, 'Anti/Non Vaxxer' proportions, and reinfection rates to provide methods to mitigate COVID-19 transmission among the United States population. Based on publicly available data, we obtain the key parameters governing the spread of the pandemic. The results show that a large fraction of infected cases comes from the adult and children populations in the presence of a highly infectious COVID-19 mutant. Given the situation at the end of July 2021, the results show that prioritizing children and adult vaccinations over that of seniors can contain the spread of the active cases, thereby preventing the healthcare system from being overwhelmed and minimizing subsequent deaths. The model suggests that the only option to curb the effects of this pandemic is to reduce the population of unvaccinated individuals. A higher fraction of 'Anti/Non-vaxxers' and a higher reinfection rate can both independently lead to the resurgence of the pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Adult , Child , United States/epidemiology , Humans , Reinfection/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Vaccination/methods , Mutation
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